Online Radio Station, based on the South Coast of NSW.

Logo

  • Tyler Wright
  • Owen Wright
  • Sally Fitzgibbons
  • Mick Fanning
  • Culburra Beach Surf Bash
MovieContributer - Teenage Dirtbag (With Lyrics) - Wheatus00:00:00
Navigation
  • Home
  • Gone Surfing
    • Queensland Sunshine Coast
      • Queensland Gold Coast
    • Northern NSW
      • Mid Coast NSW
    • Newcastle – Hunter
      • Central Coast NSW
    • Sydney
    • South Coast NSW
    • Victoria
    • South Australia
    • Western Australia
  • Surf News & Events
  • Next Catch
  • Local Pipeline
    • Hooked on Life
    • Local Pipeline South Coast
      • South Coast Attractions
      • South Coast Restaurants
  • Shows
    • Richard Lawson’s – The Explosion
    • The Beast – Hard Rock & Metal
  • Who’s Making Waves
    • Artists
    • Events
    • Gig Guide

Swell Alert: Deep East Coast Low to Deliver Another Hiding to the NSW Coast

By Stephen Brown | on July 24, 2020 | 0 Comment
Gone Surfing Slider

https://www.coastalwatch.com/surfing/26109/swell-alert-deep-east-coast-low-to-deliver-another-hiding-to-the-nsw-coast

Following the exceptionally large and consistent run of SSE, SE and ESE swell that impacted the entire East Coast throughout the week of Monday July 13, you’d be forgiven for thinking the heaviest swell events of the 2020 winter have come and gone. You’d also be wrong.

A deep ECL points to a repeat performance, featuring heavy east swell and strong SSW winds looks like early next week. Photo: cgaborit via the Coastalwatch User Photo Gallery

A deep ECL points to a repeat performance, featuring heavy east swell and strong SSW winds looks like early next week. Photo: cgaborit via the Coastalwatch User Photo Gallery

A deep upper level low and associated surface trough moving across the Eastern States on Friday and Saturday is now widely forecast to induce a deep East Coast Low; initially forming just east of the NSW/ Queensland border on Sunday, prior to rapidly intensifying and tracking south on Sunday.

Largest surf potentially confined to mid-southern NSW coasts: Over the last day or two the key models have converged on these early-stage developments – and that’s now lending high confidence to yet another large to heavy swell event, primarily impacting the mid to southern half of the NSW coast early to mid-next week.

The early stages of the low's development feature a strengthening NE/ENE fetch offshore on Sunday. Source: BOM.

The early stages of the low’s development feature a strengthening NE/ENE fetch offshore on Sunday. Source: BOM.

Initial building trend in ENE swell sets in on Sunday: Unlike last week’s storm, the initial fetch-area develops in conjunction with a large, slow-moving high-pressure system located over the south-eastern Tasman Sea (high pressure was located southwest of last week’s low). That initially sees a broadening 30 knot NE/ENE fetch developing across the high’s the north-western flank on Sunday, strengthening to 30 to 40 knots as the low drifts slowly south, becoming centred somewhere off the Seal Rocks to Sydney stretch on Monday.

Large to heavy round of combined NE/East swell and strong SSW, Southerly winds possible on Monday: While there’s still some fine differences among the key models surrounding the alignment and strength of the developing fetch, it presents high confidence for a very large to heavy pulse of NE swell peaking Monday, with a steady transition in swell-direction to the ENE/East occurring throughout the day. Further, the swell would arrive under strong to near gale force SSW winds; potentially gusting up to 30 to 40 knots as the low continues on its poleward track; passing within 200 nautical miles of the Newcastle to Sydney stretch on Monday.

An initial building trend in NE/ENE swell on Monday holds great potential for the region if winds cooperate. Source: Wave Tracker.

An initial building trend in NE/ENE swell on Monday holds great potential for the region if winds cooperate. Source: Wave Tracker.

When it comes to Monday’s forecast size, recent WW3 runs appear to be lagging. Given the forecast location, strength and duration of the developing fetch, ENE swell looks like ramping up steeply; perhaps around 4 to 6ft+ early on Monday towards 6 to 8ft+ during the day – potentially on to peaks of 8 to 10ft+ or more in the afternoon – whether or not it will hit this calibre isn’t set in stone. These specifics are likely to shift as the models continue to nail down the low’s lifecycle over the next couple of days, so stay tuned for updates on Friday.

Share this story:
  • tweet

Recent Posts

  • The Explosion Radio Show

    June 13, 2018 - 0 Comment
  • Breaking: The WSL Will Finish The Margarets Event At Ululwat

    May 18, 2018 - 0 Comment
  • Swell Alert: East Coast Low Delivers Double Whammy

    May 11, 2018 - 0 Comment

Author Description

Comments are closed.

Local Weather and Surf Conditions

The latest weather for culburra beach

Longest Wave Ever Ridden at Uluwatu??

https://youtu.be/UdDx4UGlJww

Upcoming Events

There are no upcoming events.

View Calendar
Add
  • Add to Timely Calendar
  • Add to Google
  • Add to Outlook
  • Add to Apple Calendar
  • Add to other calendar
  • Export to XML

Sponsor

  • Culburra Beach Surf Bash
  • Burradise Festival
  • Boardriders
Hook The Wave
  • About
  • Contact Us

© 2022 Hook the Wave

Web Design by Webics